| % Chance |
Num. of Times Observed |
Num. of Times this % Forecasted |
Forecaster's % |
| 0 |
126 |
3212 |
4 |
| 5 |
16 |
138 |
12 |
| 10 |
71 |
476 |
15 |
| 15 |
9 |
38 |
24 |
| 20 |
44 |
225 |
20 |
| 25 |
49 |
168 |
29 |
| 30 |
46 |
114 |
40 |
| 35 |
1 |
1 |
100 |
| 40 |
41 |
143 |
29 |
| 45 |
0 |
0 |
-- |
| 50 |
100 |
206 |
49 |
| 55 |
0 |
0 |
-- |
| 60 |
86 |
147 |
59 |
| 65 |
0 |
0 |
-- |
| 70 |
9 |
14 |
64 |
| 75 |
169 |
270 |
63 |
| 80 |
18 |
23 |
78 |
| 85 |
0 |
0 |
-- |
| 90 |
251 |
304 |
83 |
| 95 |
3 |
3 |
100 |
| 100 |
277 |
307 |
90 |
|
|
Observed |
Not Observed |
| Forecasted |
277 (H) |
30 (F) |
| Not Forecasted |
126 (M) |
3086 (Z) |
|
| Skill Stats |
| Proportion of Perfect FCSTS (PPF) | 0.96 |
| Probability of Detection (POD) | 0.69 |
| False Alarm Rate (FAR) | 0.01 |
| Frequency Bias Index (FBI) | 0.76 |
|
| PPF = (H+Z)/(H+F+M+Z) | | FAR = F/(F+Z) |
| FBI = (H+F)/(H+M) | | POD = H/(H+M) |
|
|
