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Temp7.3 C
RH9 %
WindNNE 17 mph
RoadOpen
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Hawaiian Islands Synoptic Discussion and Guidance

923
FXHW60 PHFO 232014
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
1000 AM HST MON NOV 23 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
A HIGH FAR TO THE NORTHEAST WILL MOVE EAST...AND THE TRADE WINDS
WILL BE AT MODERATE LEVELS THROUGH TUESDAY. ANOTHER HIGH WILL PASS
NORTH OF THE ISLANDS...RESULTING IN AN INCREASE IN THE TRADES LATE
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. SHOWERS WILL FOCUS ON WINDWARD AND MAUKA
SECTIONS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
HIGHER PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND LOWER PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH...PLUS
THE EVER-PRESENT CORIOLIS EFFECT TURNING THE WINDS TO THE RIGHT...
MEANS MORE TRADE WINDS THIS WEEK. THE TRADE WINDS WILL INCREASE A
LITTLE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WHEN AN EAST-MOVING HIGH PASSES
TO OUR NORTH...TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AS IT GOES. THE
TRADES WILL RETURN TO LIGHT TO MODERATE THROUGH SATURDAY WHEN THE
HIGH MOVES OFF TO THE NORTHEAST...THEN PICK UP AGAIN WHEN YET
ANOTHER HIGH PASSES BY TO THE NORTH.

A WEAKENING COLD FRONT MAY BRING SOME ORGANIZATION TO THE SHOWERS
NEAR KAUAI THIS SUNDAY. OTHERWISE...SHOWERS WILL REMAIN RANDOM...
FAVORING THE USUAL WINDWARD AND MAUKA SECTIONS WITH AN EXPOSURE TO
THE EAST WINDS. THE ABSENCE OF A DESTABILIZING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OR
LOW MEANS THAT THERE IS LITTLE OR NO CHANCE OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL
THIS WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
SURF ALONG SELECT NORTH AND WEST FACING SHORES WILL DROP BELOW
ADVISORY LEVELS TUESDAY THEN RISE ABRUPTLY TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SECOND
ROUND OF SURF MAY REQUIRE A HIGH SURF WARNING FOR WAVES EXCEEDING 25
FEET WEDNESDAY. THE SWELL WILL SLOWLY DECREASE THEREAFTER. IT IS NOT
OUT OF THE QUESTION FOR ADVISORY LEVEL SURF TO PERSIST THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK ALONG NORTH FACING SHORES.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM HST TUESDAY FOR NORTH AND WEST SHORES
OF NIIHAU AND KAUAI...AND NORTH SHORES OF OAHU MOLOKAI AND MAUI.

&&

$$

CRAIG




Bulletins, Forecasts and Observations are courtesy of Honolulu National Weather Service Forecast Office